Jul 20, 2016

Cory Diary : Selling a Dream





A Dream is Mathematically Insane. Practically Impossible. Is Basically Irrational.

Toto Strike assumes $1 M. Someone drawing 100 K annual income get 1 Toto strike every 10 years surely. Those drawing 250 K annual salary will reduce to 4 years. Can strike Toto 10 times in 40 years !

Want to get out of rat race ? Work hard and Smart. Study hard if you can. Save and Invest I like. Marry up also can. Will make it easier. Is not sure win but the path to success is there.

Want to vote for a dream because it is so attractive, addictive and memorising and hopes. A chance for the few. We need to realise. Is the gambling in us. The laziness in us. The wilfulness in us. The greediness in us.


Beware of people who sell you a Dream. Keep Dreaming.

Cory
20160720


Jul 19, 2016

Cory Diary : Reading DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD First Quarter 2016

DBS Stock Price 8th July '16 : $15.70 since the low of $13.02 Feb and high of $21.43 July last year. That's +17.1% from bottom and -36.5% respectively from top. That's more than one third drop in price.


DBS First Quarter 2016



Retail income increased 29%. Loan and Deposits up 35%. Investment product flat.
Strong results. Used 8th July price to compute below.

Non-Performing Loans (NPL) 1.0%
Past quarters increased from 0.9% to 1.0%. Percentage increase 11%.

NAV $16.39
Increases $1.09 from $15.30 2015Q1. That's 7.1% up.
BV will be 0.96.

EPS
$1.92 annualised. That's 12.2 % earning yield. PE 8.5.

Dividends
Regular Dividends assuming 60 cts (Yield 3.82%,  Shares 2,502,742,178) that will be at least $1.5 B annual distribution. 1Q16 earning alone is $1.2 B. Attractive room for Capital Growth.

Conclusion
Overall appears the company is doing well. The steep drops in stock price is puzzling to me. The current price is trading at $16.10.


Cory
20160719



Jul 18, 2016

Cory Diary : Middle Income Crisis

Gross Monthly Income From Work
Median Gross Monthly Income From Work of Full-Time Employed Residents for Year 2015 : S$3949

Monthly Income
After deducting Employer CPF : S$3375

"The variable portion of your wages can include the 13th month bonus or Annual Wage Supplement (AWS), bonus and variable payments. These payments are not compulsory, unless they are in your contract."

Assuming 3 months including AWS, Annual Income including employee CPF : $50,625
If you are drawing annual income in the range of $100,000, do you still consider yourself "Middle Income" ?


Cory
20160718